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T9s on 8♠ 7♦ 2♠ facing a bet — fold, call or raise?

The answer

Call

match $20

The math: 15 outs → ≈30% on the next card; a pot-size bet costs 33%, so the direct gap is small.

Why

The flush draw plus open-ended straight draw has 15 outs, about 30% on the next card against a 33% price. With position and 100bb stacks, winning roughly $7 more after improving covers that small gap, so call on implied odds. Semi-bluff raising can also be viable. This call buys only the next card: use outs × 2 against this price. Use × 4 only when the call closes the action for both cards; otherwise realistic implied odds must cover any gap.

The spot

Villain · BB
bets $20 · pot
POT · $20
8
7
2
T
9
BTN
$1 / $2 · 100bb
Your seat
BTN
Stakes and stacks
$1 / $2 · 100bb
Your hand
T♠ 9♠
Board
8♠ 7♦ 2♠
Pot
POT · $20
Action on you
BB bets $20 · pot

Every option

  • Foldgive up the hand

    Why not: Fifteen outs give about 30% on the next card, just below the 33% direct price; only a small realistic future payoff is needed to cover the gap.

  • Callmatch $20Correct

  • Raisesemi-bluff

    2.5x · $50 · all-in

    Why not: Semi-bluff raising is actually fine here too! Calling is just the simplest profitable line.

The idea behind it

When next-card equity misses the direct price, call only if position, stacks, and likely payoff create enough implied odds. Use × 4 against the price only when the call guarantees both cards.

Concept: Pot odds

Terms in this spot

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