65s on A♣ J♣ 2♦ facing an all-in — call or fold?
The answer
Fold
release the draw
The math: $40 call to win $100 → need 40% · 9-out flush draw ≈35% by the river
Why
The all-in guarantees both cards, so the by-river estimate is valid here. But about 35% is still below the 40% price, with no future payoff left to collect and some reverse-implied risk against higher clubs. Fold.
The spot
Villain · CO
shoves $40
POT · $20
A♣
J♣
2♦
6♣
5♣
MP
$1 / $2 · $40 effective
- Your seat
- MP
- Stakes and stacks
- $1 / $2 · $40 effective
- Your hand
- 6♣ 5♣
- Board
- A♣ J♣ 2♦
- Pot
- POT · $20
- Action on you
- CO shoves $40
Every option
Foldrelease the drawCorrect
Callcall the $40 shove
Why not: The call needs 40%, while a bare nine-out flush draw makes only about 35% by the river and can sometimes be dominated.
The idea behind it
A familiar draw can still be priced out. When an all-in closes the action, compare its full by-river equity with the exact call price.
Concept: Priced out
Terms in this spot
Play it instead of reading it
The trainer deals this hand with hints, grading and spaced repetition — and randomized variations of it once you have seen it.