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65s on A♣ J♣ 2♦ facing an all-in — call or fold?

The answer

Fold

release the draw

The math: $40 call to win $100 → need 40% · 9-out flush draw ≈35% by the river

Why

The all-in guarantees both cards, so the by-river estimate is valid here. But about 35% is still below the 40% price, with no future payoff left to collect and some reverse-implied risk against higher clubs. Fold.

The spot

Villain · CO
shoves $40
POT · $20
A
J
2
6
5
MP
$1 / $2 · $40 effective
Your seat
MP
Stakes and stacks
$1 / $2 · $40 effective
Your hand
6♣ 5♣
Board
A♣ J♣ 2♦
Pot
POT · $20
Action on you
CO shoves $40

Every option

  • Foldrelease the drawCorrect

  • Callcall the $40 shove

    Why not: The call needs 40%, while a bare nine-out flush draw makes only about 35% by the river and can sometimes be dominated.

The idea behind it

A familiar draw can still be priced out. When an all-in closes the action, compare its full by-river equity with the exact call price.

Concept: Priced out

Terms in this spot

Play it instead of reading it

The trainer deals this hand with hints, grading and spaced repetition — and randomized variations of it once you have seen it.

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