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98s on 7♥ 6♣ 2♦ facing a bet — fold, call or raise?

The answer

Call

match $5

The math: 8 outs (any ten or five) → ≈16% on the next card; a quarter-pot bet costs ~17%, so the direct gap is tiny.

Why

Any ten or five completes the straight, for eight outs and about 16% next-card equity. The price is ~17%; position and even a very small realistic payoff after improving cover that narrow gap, so call. This call buys only the next card: use outs × 2 against this price. Use × 4 only when the call closes the action for both cards; otherwise realistic implied odds must cover any gap.

The spot

Villain · BB
bets $5
POT · $20
7
6
2
9
8
CO
$1 / $2 · 100bb
Your seat
CO
Stakes and stacks
$1 / $2 · 100bb
Your hand
9♠ 8♠
Board
7♥ 6♣ 2♦
Pot
POT · $20
Action on you
BB bets $5

Every option

  • Foldgive up the draw

    Why not: Eight outs give about 16% on the next card, almost the ~17% price; position and a tiny amount of future payoff make folding too tight.

  • Callmatch $5Correct

  • Raiseraise as a semi-bluff

    3x · $15 · all-in

    Why not: Raising can work as a semi-bluff, but calling keeps worse hands in and preserves the future payoff that makes the implied-odds continue viable.

The idea behind it

When next-card equity misses the direct price, call only if position, stacks, and likely payoff create enough implied odds. Use × 4 against the price only when the call guarantees both cards.

Concept: Pot odds

Terms in this spot

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