poker.yoga

98s on Q♠ J♥ 4♣ facing a bet — fold, call or raise?

The answer

Fold

give up the hand

The math: Nominal gutshot = 4 tens → ≈8% next card; price = 33%. A-K and K-9 can make higher straights on a ten.

Why

A ten completes your queen-high straight, but it also completes Broadway for A-K and a higher straight for K-9. The direct price already crushes four clean outs; once the dirty outcomes are discounted, folding is mandatory.

The spot

Villain · CO
bets $20 · pot
POT · $20
Q
J
4
9
8
BB
$1 / $2 · 100bb
Your seat
BB
Stakes and stacks
$1 / $2 · 100bb
Your hand
9♦ 8♦
Board
Q♠ J♥ 4♣
Pot
POT · $20
Action on you
CO bets $20 · pot

Every option

  • Foldgive up the handCorrect

  • Callcall $20

    Why not: A ten is not automatically clean: A-K makes Broadway and K-9 makes a higher king-high straight.

  • Raisebluff-raise

    2.5x · $50 · all-in

    Why not: A thin, partly dominated draw is a poor candidate for attacking a pot-size bet.

The idea behind it

Nominal outs are not automatically clean. Before counting a card, ask whether it can complete a higher straight or flush for the range betting into you.

Concept: Counting outs

Terms in this spot

Play it instead of reading it

The trainer deals this hand with hints, grading and spaced repetition — and randomized variations of it once you have seen it.

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