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99 on 6♠ 3♦ 2♣, checked to you — bet or check?

The answer

Bet

Small stab, ~$4 (⅓ pot)

Best size: ⅓ pot · $4

The math: Fire a small ~$4 (⅓-pot) stab: the solver bets this overpair the large majority of the time, taxing every overcard that wants a free card.

Why

Nines is an overpair to a bone-dry 6-3-2 rainbow — you're miles ahead of the Big Blind's checking range. A small bet gets called by worse pairs and floated by loose overcards, all drawing painfully thin against you. Checking hands those live overcards a free look at the turn to outdraw you; betting makes them pay. Keep it small — the board is so disconnected there's nothing to protect against beyond the odd overcard.

The spot

Villain · BB
checks
POT · $12
6
3
2
9
9
BTN
$1 / $2 · 100bb
Your seat
BTN
Stakes and stacks
$1 / $2 · 100bb
Your hand
9♠ 9♣
Board
6♠ 3♦ 2♣
Pot
POT · $12
Action on you
BB checks

Every option

  • CheckGive up the betting lead

    Why not: Checking gifts the Big Blind's overcards a free card to crack your overpair and passes up easy value from worse pairs.

  • BetSmall stab, ~$4 (⅓ pot)Correct

    ⅓ pot · $4 · ⅔ pot · $8 · pot · $12

The idea behind it

On dry, low, disconnected boards a small c-bet lets your value charge overcards while risking little — with no draws to fear, size down and bet often.

Concept: Value c-bet

Terms in this spot

Play it instead of reading it

The trainer deals this hand with hints, grading and spaced repetition — and randomized variations of it once you have seen it.

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