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A8o on K♣ 8♠ 3♥, checked to you — bet or check?

The answer

Bet

small value bet

Best size: ⅓ pot · $4

The math: Second pair with an ace kicker — worse pairs, king-x floats and draws all still call, and the overcards want a free card.

Why

You raised pre and flopped second pair with the best possible kicker, and that's plenty to bet. Smaller pairs still call, plenty of king-x hands float you, and draws come along too, so you collect thin value from a stack of worse holdings. Betting also charges the overcards to your eight and denies them the free card they'd need to outrun you. A small value-and-protection c-bet beats checking and letting this flop go by for nothing.

The spot

Villain · BB
checks
POT · $12
K
8
3
A
8
BTN
$1 / $2 · 100bb
Your seat
BTN
Stakes and stacks
$1 / $2 · 100bb
Your hand
A♦ 8♣
Board
K♣ 8♠ 3♥
Pot
POT · $12
Action on you
BB checks

Every option

  • Checktake a free card

    Why not: Checking leaves money on the table: worse pairs and king-x hands that would pay a bet get in for free, and the overcards you're beating get a cheap card to pass you.

  • Betsmall value betCorrect

    ⅓ pot · $4 · ⅔ pot · $8 · pot · $12

The idea behind it

A made pair is usually worth a bet even when it isn't top pair. If worse pairs, weak king-x hands, and draws will call, you're getting thin value, and the bet also denies live overcards the free card they need to pass your pair.

Concept: Thin value

Terms in this spot

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