poker.yoga

72o from SB with 10bb — push or fold?

The answer

Fold

keep your stack

The math: 10bb · a shove only profits when they fold. against a caller, 7-2 has nothing.

Why

A steal shove lives on fold equity, and 7-2 offsuit brings nothing else — it's the worst hand in poker at showdown. Even against a blind who folds a normal amount, 10 big blinds is far too deep to jam it: push charts only shove 7-2 when you're down to 2-3 blinds. And this big blind calls with almost anything, so there's no fold equity at all — you'd just get called and, most of the time, lose. Who sits behind you decides how wide you can shove, and against a station the answer is: much tighter. Fold.

The spot

POT · 1,500
preflop
Folded to you · station BB
7
2
SB
500 / 1,000 · 10bb
Your seat
SB
Stakes and stacks
500 / 1,000 · 10bb
Your hand
7♦ 2♣
Board
Preflop — no board yet
Pot
POT · 1,500
Action on you
Folded to you · station BB

Every option

  • Foldkeep your stackCorrect

  • Pushall-in

    Why not: Even against a normal player, 7-2 offsuit is nowhere near a standard 10bb shove — push charts only jam the worst hand when you're down to 2-3 big blinds. A shove here banks entirely on the blind over-folding, and this one never folds at all: you'd just get called by something better and bleed chips.

The idea behind it

A steal shove wins two ways: they fold, or you get lucky when called. Against someone who never folds, the first way disappears. Now your hand has to win at showdown on its own — so you can only jam cards that are genuinely ahead of the range that calls you.

Concept: No fold equity

Terms in this spot

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